SubjectivePM team

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

PM implied

26%

bid 23% / ask 28%

Current state

—

deferred

Volume

$116.2K

24h $2.3K

Closes in

—

Δ to trigger

—

No live machine-readable trigger for this market.

Resolution Confidence (RC)

—

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

Order bookoffline

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Rule

Subjective: Polymarket's UMA-arbitrated panel resolves this market on or before no deadline. No machine-readable trigger.(Resolves by Polymarket-team consensus reading; no machine-readable Δ.)

Implied probability, last 30d

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h▲ 9pp

Δ 7d▲ 2pp

Δ 30d▼ 8.5pp

Reconstructed from cumulative change windows; not a tick-by-tick history.

Open on Polymarket id 622738slug will-hyperliquid-perform-an-airdrop-by-december-31-2026