SubjectivePM team

Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?

PM implied

bid 2% / ask 2%

Current state

—

deferred

Volume

$25.7K

24h $83.9

Closes in

46d

Wed, 01 Jul 2026 04:00:00 GMT

Δ to trigger

—

No live machine-readable trigger for this market.

Resolution Confidence (RC)

—

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

Order bookoffline

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Rule

Subjective: Polymarket's UMA-arbitrated panel resolves this market on or before Jul 1, 2026. No machine-readable trigger.(Resolves by Polymarket-team consensus reading; no machine-readable Δ.)

Implied probability, last 30d

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h▼ 2.9pp

Δ 7d▼ 2.8pp

Δ 30d▼ 1.6pp

Reconstructed from cumulative change windows; not a tick-by-tick history.

Open on Polymarket id 658198slug will-consensys-ipo-by-june-30-2026-144

MarketPMSourceStateΔ to triggerRCDaysΔ24hVol 24h

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