PriceBinance BTC/USDT

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?

PM implied

bid 6% / ask 7%

Current state

80,122

Volume

$336.5K

24h $183.1

Closes in

230d

Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Δ to trigger

+301%

Threshold 20,000 · current 80,122 · 300.61% away

Resolution Confidence (RC)

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

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Rule

Resolves YES if Binance BTC/USDT prints <= $20,000 at any point before Jan 1, 2027.

Implied probability, last 30d

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d0pp

Δ 30d▼ 2.0pp

Reconstructed from cumulative change windows; not a tick-by-tick history.

Open on Polymarket id 1343219slug will-bitcoin-dip-to-20000-by-december-31-2026-121-885-178-397-354-236-731

MarketPMSourceStateΔ to triggerRCDaysΔ24hVol 24h

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