LaunchFDV @ T+24h

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

PM implied

24%

bid 23% / ask 24%

Current state

—

deferred

Volume

$2M

24h $794.1

Closes in

230d

Fri, 01 Jan 2027 05:00:00 GMT

Δ to trigger

—

No live machine-readable trigger for this market.

Resolution Confidence (RC)

—

Composite of distance (55%), time pressure (30%) and log-volume (15%). Higher means a more legible resolution path.

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Rule

Resolves YES if the token reaches $1,000,000,000 fully-diluted valuation after launch and before Jan 1, 2027.(Token not yet launched, or FDV fetcher pending wiring.)

Implied probability, last 30d

Δ 1h0pp

Δ 24h0pp

Δ 7d▼ 1.0pp

Δ 30d▲ 5pp

Reconstructed from cumulative change windows; not a tick-by-tick history.

Open on Polymarket id 618455slug opensea-fdv-above-1b-one-day-after-launch-426-422-754-756-879-328-494

MarketPMSourceStateΔ to triggerRCDaysΔ24hVol 24h

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